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Recommended service - hourly, according to the GWRUS. Let's work towards that service and towards ensuring all services are used.
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Author Topic: New ticket sales figures  (Read 1954 times)
Graham Ellis
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New ticket sales figures
« on: March 13, 2009, 08:01:16 AM »

Stations on the TransWilts, Footfall 2006/7 and 2007/8
(New figures released by DfT yesterday)

Mileages are from previous station.  % is % change over year

SWI - Swindon - 2652350 / 2900287 p.p.a. 109%
CPM - Chippenham - 1425258 / 1498039 p.p.a. 105% - 16 mls
MKM - Melksham - 22001 / 38081 p.p.a. 173% - 6 mls away
TRO - Trowbridge - 587218 / 577444 p.p.a. 98% - 6 mls away
WSB - Westbury (Wilts) - 462988 / 479352 p.p.a. 103% - 4 mls away
DMH - Dilton Marsh - 15359 / 10063 p.p.a. 65% - 2 mls away
WMN - Warminster - 311170 / 312824 p.p.a. 100% - 4 mls away
SAL - Salisbury - 1806998 / 1856932 p.p.a. 102% - 19 mls away
DEN - Dean - 12103 / 11487 p.p.a. 94% - 8 mls away
DBG - Mottisfont & Dunbridge - 14028 / 12941 p.p.a. 92% - 4 mls away
ROM - Romsey - 371186 / 398418 p.p.a. 107% - 4 mls away
SOU - Southampton Central - 5782880 / 6120782 p.p.a. 105% - 7 mls away

Other Wiltshire Stations

TIS - Tisbury - 208785 / 211128 p.p.a. 101%
PEW - Pewsey - 150911 / 169733 p.p.a. 112%
BDW - Bedwyn - 77048 / 81160 p.p.a. 105%
BOA - Bradford-on-Avon - 259775 / 290527 p.p.a. 111%
AVF - Avoncliff - 13888 / 15256 p.p.a. 109%
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Graham Ellis
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Re: New ticket sales figures
« Reply #1 on: March 13, 2009, 10:47:03 AM »

I have (quite reasonably) been asked if those figures for Melksham and the traffic figures are real ....

I'm sure that Melksham ticket sales are a 'quirk' ... it would be an average of 25 people getting on or off every single train.  More realistic figure is between 4 and 10 people per train - between 6000 and 14000 real arrivals /  departures, giving "Melksham Special" ticket sales elsewhere a figure of 24,000 to 32,000. "Melksham specials" are tickets which were sold for shorter journeys that did not start / end at Melksham, as for a while the fare from Melksham to Bristol was lower than the fare from (for example) Bradford-on-Avon to Bristol

Here is my surmise of what the ticket sales (and real revenue forecast) would be with a service of 10 trains per day:

Up the service to 10 trains a day, and you'll get 15 to 20 people per train in the first full year after 3 months to 'settle' i.e. the 2010/11 year - and that would be usage figures (ticket sales)  of 54,000 to 72,000 which we know accounts for about a quarter of the traffic carried on the line - so single journey count would be around a quarter of a million, at 3 pounds per journey gives an income of 3/4 million - but it would stand a 4 pound fare, giving a 1 million income which would make money for the operator.

That's a summary - I have not shown my workings or assumptions, but I'm reasonably confident in the figures which err very much on the convervative side when you look at things like the size of the catchment.  I would be very happy to go through the figures in details with any of the candidates for the forthcoming Wiltshire elections ... or First, DfT or NR come to that, but I suspect they're already familiar with them.

P.S. New support pledge - http://www.transwilts.org.uk/pledge.html - please sign up if you support an improived service  Wink
« Last Edit: March 13, 2009, 10:48:55 AM by Graham Ellis » Logged
Lee
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Re: New ticket sales figures
« Reply #2 on: March 13, 2009, 05:07:47 PM »

Talking of quirks, have a look at the following station usage figures for April 2007-April 2008 (2006-2007 figures in brackets):

Severn Beach - 54034 (38202)
St Andrews Road - 3183 (5518)
Avonmouth - 44468 (47834)
Shirehampton - 30893 (38493)
Sea Mills - 33222 (40786)
Clifton Down - 204397 (180656)
Redland - 61394 (66852)
Montpelier - 60629 (76929)
Stapleton Road - 72182 (98446)
Lawrence Hill - 55730 (68371)

Some sharp declines there, with a couple of notable rises.

However, one needs to remember that a zonal fare system was introduced on the Severn Beach Line in May 2007....
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Graham Ellis
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Re: New ticket sales figures
« Reply #3 on: March 29, 2009, 10:49:24 AM »

Full Comparison with 2007/8 figures added is now available at:

http://www.firstgreatwestern.info/smr/

It comes up by default showing Wiltshire stations, but if you register / log in with the site it's on, you can see the data for anywher in Great Britain.

Ticket sales in 2007/2008 for Melksham were higher than ticket sales for Bleanau Ffestiniog - now there's a surprise.  BF is the terminus station at the end of a line that enjoys many more services ... but then of course it's in Wales, where the local government seems to believe if providing a service at a much more appropriate level!

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