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Topic: Rail Freight Predicted To Double By 2030 (Read 1781 times)
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Lee
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A new study published by the Freight Transport Association (FTA) and Rail Freight Group (RFG) predicts that demand for rail freight will double by 2030 (link below.) http://www.roadtransport.com/Articles/2008/08/14/131430/rail-freight-predicted-to-double-by-2030.htmlAccording to the forecasts, which were calculated using the GB Freight Model used by the Department for Transport, there will also be: - A 30% increase in tonne/km for rail freight by 2015 - An increase of more than 100% in intermodal traffic by 2015 – and a five-fold increase by 2030 The figures update the last set of FTA rail freight forecasts made in 2006. James Hookham, FTA policy director, says the growth will come from more international trade, plus significant use of rail to and from new rail-connected warehouses. |
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Lee
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Further related link. http://www.railnews.co.uk/news/freight/2008/08/21-freight-doubles-capacity.htmlThe forecasts have also been allocated to specific rail routes used at present and demand compared with existing capacity assuming no change in the number of passenger trains on those routes. Unsurprisingly, the main rail freight flows are on the routes between centres of economic activity and to and from ports.
By 2030, there is forecast to be shortfalls in capacity on many routes, even assuming no increase in passenger train numbers. The greatest shortfalls will be on the following routes:
- Up to 200 trains per day: West Coast Main Line between Crewe and London, and on the North London and London, Tilbury and Southend lines
- Up to 100 trains per day: West Coast Main line between Crewe and Glasgow, East Coast Main Line between Doncaster and London, and on routes between the Channel Tunnel and London.
- Up to 50 trains per day: between Southampton and the West Midlands.
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