In other words , the closure guidance example reaches almost exactly the same conclusion as Jacobs did in the quote below :
Yes , Graham , I am afraid it does.
Here is a link to a January 2006 article by Christian Wolmar on the new DfT Closure Guidance.
http://www.christianwolmar.co.uk/articles/independent/jan29,06.shtmlQuotes from the above link :
"An army of consultants will decide whether lines should stay open or close. A law passed last year has reduced the right of passengers to object to closures."
"The 83-page consultation paper uses a new kind of cost-benefit analysis, which, experts say, will highlight the economically fragile state of the network. Such analysis often penalises trains because it fails to take into account that they are environmentally friendly. As one senior rail industry figure put it last night: "The trouble with consultants is they will do exactly what ministers want them to do."
Jacobs Consultancy would be front - runners to perform this task. Here is a link to the Greater Western Franchise Replacement Outline Business Case Report.
http://www.dft.gov.uk/stellent/groups/dft_foi/documents/page/dft_foi_612538.pdfJacobs recommended for progression or further work , closure or "parliamentary service" options for the following stations :
Islip , Bicester Town , Tackley , Heyford , Kings Sutton , Combe , Finstock , Ascott-Under-Wychwood , Shipton , Shalford , Chilworth , Gomshall , Dorking West , Betchworth , Dilton Marsh , Dean , Dunbridge , Sea Mills , Shirehampton , Avonmouth , St Andrews Road , Severn Beach , Newton St Cyres , Yeoford , Copplestone , Morchard Road , Lapford , Kings Nympton , Portsmouth Arms , Umberleigh , Chapelton , Luxulyan , Bugle , Roche , St Columb Road , Quintrell Downs , Coombe , St Keyne , Causeland and Sandplace.
Interestingly , the option to close intermediate stations on the Exmouth line was rejected. Also , several service options were considered for Devonport , Dockyard , Keyham , St Budeaux , Saltash , St Germans , Menheniot , Lostwithiel and Hayle (including closure) but Jacobs decided to reject ALL of them.
Where Jacobs recommended closure options for progression or further work , they did so largely when a case could be made on the following grounds :
1) Reduction in costs or subsidy.
2) Improved performance or reduced journey times.
Some believe that the DfT were intent on implementing Beeching 2 but were forced to back down by the adverse public reaction to the original FGW December 2006 Draft Timetable.
If this is the case then they would appear to have failed to inform Network Rail. Have a look at the link below.
http://www.savethetrain.org.uk/forum/index.php?topic=433.msg1285#msg1285And then the quote below :
"(b) developing and promoting an interurban network for Cornwall to be known as "Network Kernow"
It should also be noted that "Option 3" requires one less unit than the existing service under consideration in the closure guidance example.