I posted up in the middle of last week the case for an "Open Access" Operator to provide services on the line - there's a press release and a detaile case too that's gone out as appropriate. Some specific commercial information as it relates to possibiities for individual operators is omitted from the case on the site, of course, but even so it looks good.
I caused quite a stir - didn't I just! Both on the forum and by email, I received both words of support and some constructive criticism too. I was particularly delighted with these, as they gave me a chance to review the proposal against quite a tough questioning line, and see how it stands up, and
it stands up very wellOn the issue of
freight train paths, critics suggest there's not going to be a problem ... so I've offered a solution that's not necessary. Fine by me - I'm a careful so-and-so, and I would much rather have al lmy ducks in a line than being bit in the bum later on.
On the issue of
required equipment, the point was made that a second train would be a prudent provision to cover maintainance and failure of a single unit. Maybe ... it depends on who the operator is, and thus whether or not the train nomally running the service is part of a fleet that run other services from the same depot and could provide cover if necessary. My original costing took that as being the case (for example, if First ran the service after all), but I have now modified the case - which you can read at
http://www.savethetrain.org.uk/open.html to show a most expensive scenario - if it's taken up by an operator with no other presence nearby. Again, the prognosis for a forward looking operator is excellent; still in profit by year 2, more that adequate income to fund a longer train as that becomes needed in year 4 ...
On the
overall cots, there's a critic or two who quotes a much higher bottom line that I have come up with - around a million pounds v my 737k. However, none of the critics has told me where my figures are low or what I've missed out, even though I have asked, and I gather they're quoting an average cost for running a train set for a year rather than the sepecifics of our line which som ein a bit cheaper. On the other hand, I've been quoted some more train hire costs which suggest to me that we could even make a saving.
Finally, on Friday came the publication of the truely dreadful final FGW timings from December. We've really been kicked in the face - not only 60% of trains withdrawn but the remaining two shifted to very unattractive times. "Unmarketable" I think was one of the printable comments.
But is does mean that the way is clear for A.N. Other to operate the optimum 8 per day service and know that he WILL pick up the peak traffic too ... as the optimum service specified carefully caters for it. Perhaps every cloud has a silver lining.